Liverpool are projected to defend their Premier League title in the 2025/26 season, according to a probability-based simulation conducted by BettingLounge.co.uk. The Supercomputer, which simulates each match 10,000 times using betting market data and club strength, expects Arne Slot’s side to claim the crown once more, finishing on 82 points.
The Reds, who coasted to last season’s title, are predicted to edge out Manchester City by just three points. Arsenal, Aston Villa, and Newcastle complete the expected top five, with Chelsea falling just short of a Champions League berth. Despite their historic stature, Manchester United are forecasted to finish in a disappointing 14th place with only 44 points.
Meanwhile, Tottenham Hotspur’s struggles are expected to continue under Thomas Frank. Despite their Europa League success, the club is tipped to end up barely clear of relegation, just three places and three points above the bottom three.
All three newly promoted sides—Sunderland, Burnley, and Leeds United—are expected to return straight to the Championship. The prediction suggests that the step up to Premier League football may prove too steep for the trio.
The simulation also highlighted key fixtures that could define the season’s momentum. Liverpool start their title defense at Anfield on August 15 against Bournemouth. Manchester United host Arsenal on the opening weekend as both teams seek early-season statements.
Everton, now relocated to the new Hill Dickinson Stadium, will play Brighton in their historic first home match on August 23. Emotional scenes marked their departure from Goodison Park, and the new 53,000-capacity venue is expected to usher in a new era for the club.
The first major derby of the campaign arrives on September 13 as Manchester City face Manchester United at the Etihad. The Red Devils’ dramatic comeback in last year’s fixture was a rare bright moment during a poor campaign.
Other crucial dates include the north London derby between Arsenal and Spurs on November 22 and a fiery Tyne-Wear clash between Sunderland and Newcastle on December 13—a welcome return of a historic rivalry to the top flight.
Further into the calendar, the Emirates will host a heavyweight clash between Arsenal and Liverpool on January 7, a fixture that could shape the title race as the season settles into rhythm. A month later, Anfield will be the venue for a blockbuster showdown between Liverpool and City.
Fans can also look forward to the first Merseyside derby at Everton’s new stadium, set for April 18, when Liverpool visit the Hill Dickinson Stadium in what promises to be one of the season’s most anticipated clashes.
With shifting dynamics, new signings, and revamped stadiums, the 2025/26 Premier League season is shaping up to be one of the most compelling campaigns in recent memory. And if the Supercomputer is right, Liverpool might be lifting the trophy once again come May.