UCL permutations for Arsenal, City, Liverpool & Villa

The 2024-25 Champions League season has brought a fresh format and plenty of drama, with all four English teams—Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool, and Aston Villa—heading into their final league phase matches.

Here’s a breakdown of what each team needs to secure progression in this revamped competition.

Understanding the New Champions League Format

This season introduced a league-phase format, replacing the traditional 32-team group stage with 36 teams competing in a Swiss-style model. Each team faces eight different opponents, with four home and four away matches.

Teams finishing in the top eight automatically qualify for the Round of 16. Those ranked ninth to 24th enter a knockout play-off for a chance to progress. Teams in 25th position or lower are eliminated.

Mikel Arteta (Photo Credit: Getty)
Mikel Arteta (Photo Credit: Getty)

Arsenal’s Path to the Knockouts

Arsenal sits third in the league-phase table with just one game left. Their commanding 3-0 win over Dinamo Zagreb solidified their position, making direct qualification for the Round of 16 almost certain. Only an extraordinary set of results could push Arsenal out of the top eight, even if they lose their final game against Girona.

Pep Guardiola (Photo Credit: Getty)
Pep Guardiola (Photo Credit: Getty)

Man City’s Last-Chance Scenario

Manchester City faces the most precarious situation among the English teams. After a 4-2 defeat to Paris Saint-Germain, City finds itself in 25th place. A win against Club Brugge on January 29 is the only way for them to secure a spot in the knockout play-offs. Any other result would see Pep Guardiola’s side eliminated early.

Arne Slot (photo credit: Getty)
Arne Slot (photo credit: Getty)

Liverpool’s Dominance

Liverpool tops the league phase table with one match remaining against PSV. Even if the Reds lose, their position in the top eight is guaranteed, granting them direct qualification to the last 16. It’s a testament to their strong performance throughout the competition.

Unai Emery (Photo Credit: Getty)
Unai Emery (Photo Credit: Getty)

Aston Villa’s Hopeful Push

Aston Villa, currently ninth, faces Scottish side Celtic at Villa Park in their final game. A win could push Unai Emery’s team into the top eight for direct qualification. However, even if they fail to break into the top eight, their position within the top 24 secures them a spot in the knockout play-off round.

What’s Next?

As the league phase wraps up, all eyes will be on these decisive matches. Arsenal looks poised for smooth progression, Liverpool is already through, while Manchester City and Aston Villa must fight to keep their Champions League dreams alive.

Stay tuned as the thrilling journey continues in this reimagined Champions League format!

Abasiodu Sunday

About the Author: Abasiodu Sunday

Abasiodu Sunday is an author whose passion for global football spans beyond borders, capturing the excitement of rising stars and established legends alike. From the English Premier League to the FA Cup, the Champions League, the World Cup, and beyond, Imhons' writing covers the most prestigious tournaments and leagues worldwide. Whether it’s the vibrant fields of the Americas, the storied stadiums of Europe, the passionate pitches of the Middle East, or the heart of Africa, Imhons is always eager to explore the game. With a drink in hand, the author expertly connects the dots between culture, identity, and football, offering readers a deep dive into the universal love and intricacies of the sport.

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